The 537 were incredibly dysfunctional in 2012. The House passed a budget; the Senate did not. There was the debt ceiling crisis, no budget enacted, the debt ceiling crisis, bond downgrade, and fiscal cliff. Let's see how the 537 PACT would have affected the various Members, had it been in place.
To examine how the 537 Accountability PACT would affect
Members, let’s look at a Member’s 2012 tax rate, assuming that the PACT had
been in effect. None of the key
events-budget enactment, tax rates set, or debt ceiling increase passed-were
enacted before the end of the CY 2012-an example of our government’s dysfunction
and incompetence. Based on FY 2012 actuals and the FY 2013 budget process,
Member base tax rates for 2012 would range from 35.4% to 46.8%, with their effective rates being higher, depending on the maximum marginal rate any citizen is subject to.
The calculation is outlined below:
The base tax rate applies to all Members and is equal to FY
2012 federal spending (direct and mandated but not funded) as a percent of GDP.
This base rate would be 22.7% plus unfunded mandates (amount unknown).
A marginal rate equal to the highest marginal rate any
citizen faced in 2012 applies to 20% of all Members’ income. This rate has not
been determined. The calculations below assume that this highest marginal tax
rate is 80%.
The deficit surcharge, equal to half of the deficit as a
percent of GDP, applies to all members as well. This deficit surcharge equals
3.5%.
For those Members voting for an out of balance budget or a
deficit ceiling increase or an out of balance budget would also be 3.4%. This would be the majority of the Members.
The next step is to add the FME penalties to the base rates.
These FME penalties are based largely on the FY 2013 budget process, which is
outlined below:
The President submitted his Budget Request on February 13th
(one week late)
The House passed a Budget Resolution on March 29 (on time-note that the House woudl get a small bonus in pay for this.)
The Senate did not pass a Budget Resolution
None of the three required elements for FY 2013-budget enacted,
tax rates set, or debt ceiling increase for FY2013- were enacted by the end of
the calendar year.
The amount of the tax penalty depends on whether one is the
Minority or Majority party and where one serves. Thus there are five cases, as
outlined below:
Case
|
FME tax penalty prior to Oct 1, 2012
|
FME tax penalty after Oct 1, 2012
|
Total FME tax penalty
|
Executive Members
|
4.25%
|
9.2%
|
13.45%
|
Majority Member of House
|
0
|
9.2%
|
9.2%
|
Minority Member of House
|
0
|
9.2%
|
9.2%
|
Majority Member of Senate
|
8%
|
9.2%
|
17.2%
|
Minority Member of Senate
|
5.9%
|
9.2%
|
15.1%
|
When all of these items are combined, there are a total of
nine cases. The tax rate for the President and Vice President are shown in the
table below:
Case
|
Tax Rate
|
Deficit Surtax
|
FME Surtax
|
Total tax rate
|
Base Tax Rate (80% of
income)
|
22.7%
|
6.9%
|
13.45%
|
43.05%
|
Marginal Tax Rate (20% of
income)
|
80%
|
6.9%
|
13.45%
|
100.35%
|
Combined effective rate
|
54.51%
|
A similar calculation can be made for each of the Congressional
Members based on their Party, Chamber and if they voted for a debt ceiling
increase (DCI) or an out of balance budget (OOBB):
Case
|
Base Rate with Penalties
|
Marginal Rate with Penalties
|
Combined, effective rate
|
Majority Member of
House-voted for OOBB or DCI
|
38.8%
|
96.1%
|
50.3%
|
Minority Member of
House-voted for OOBB or DCI
|
38.8%
|
96.1%
|
50.3%
|
Majority Member of
Senate-voted for OOBB or DCI
|
46.8%
|
104.1%
|
58.3%
|
Minority Member of
Senate-voted for OOBB or DCI
|
44.7%
|
102%
|
56.2%
|
Majority Member of
House-did not vote for OOBB or DCI
|
35.4%
|
122.7%
|
46.9%
|
Minority Member of House-
did not vote for OOBB or DCI
|
35.4%
|
122.7%
|
46.9%
|
Majority Member of Senate-
did not vote for OOBB or DCI
|
45.4%
|
130.7%
|
56.5%
|
Minority Member of Senate-
did not vote for OOBB or DCI
|
41.3%
|
128.6%
|
52.8%
|
Other items to note:
- The debt ceiling limit for FY2013 has not been raised, so a daily surtax would continue.
- The above calculations do not include any surtaxes rolled over for previous deficits.
- The tax rates for the President and Vice President would be higher, since they failed to meet the legally mandated deadline for the Regulatory Agenda (and maybe other items, as well.).
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